Zhenys 2-2 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.29
Draw
21%
2.94
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
27%
+11.7pp
21%
Draw
30%
-9.6pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhenys EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 46%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.28/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.78
-70% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
211 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhenys
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
26.10.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 0-2 Zhenys KAZP
23.06.2024 Zhenys 1-3 HT 1-2 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhenys vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhenys and Ordabasy Shymkent couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 21% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zhenys and 2.00 for Ordabasy Shymkent.

What was the final score of Zhenys vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Zhenys 2-2 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhenys vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zhenys 39%, draw 21%, Ordabasy Shymkent 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
30 May 2025
16:00 Yelimay Semey vs FC Astana Analysis →
16:30 Tobol vs Atyrau Analysis →
18:00 Aktobe vs Kairat Analysis →