Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.0pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.8pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
0.73/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.91
-17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.7 Crosses 13.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
0W-2D-1L
AWAY America de Cali
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.20 xG 1.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 Passes 280
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
29.09.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
18.03.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1-0
AWAY America de Cali
1.21 xG 0.42
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
213 Passes 408
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF edged past America de Cali 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Fortaleza CEIF made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 37% of the ball to America de Cali's 63%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.21 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, America de Cali led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 0.67 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs America de Cali?

Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated an America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 33%, draw 30%, America de Cali 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (America de Cali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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