Junior 1-1 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.29
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
73%
-3.2pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.3pp
12%
Away Win
9%
+3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.61/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.29
+14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
18.1 Crosses 11.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
3W-2D-1L
AWAY La Equidad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
0.98 xG 0.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
275 Passes 262
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2025 La Equidad La Equidad 0-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
13.10.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
30.03.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
20.08.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
26.02.2023 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
17.07.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
1-1
AWAY La Equidad
1.56 xG 1.11
72% Ball Possession 28%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
16 Corners 5
503 Passes 155
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Junior vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior and La Equidad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Junior carried 70% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Junior had 72% of the ball to La Equidad's 28%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.56 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Junior and 0.17 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Junior vs La Equidad?

Junior 1-1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Junior 70%, draw 18%, La Equidad 12%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Junior) ✗ BTTS No
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