Korona Kielce vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Korona Kielce v Pogon Szczecin — Team-Based Signals
Korona Kielce vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Korona Kielce 1-0 Pogon Szczecin — Actual Match Statistics
Korona Kielce squeezed past Pogon Szczecin 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Korona Kielce as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: Pogon Szczecin saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 18-21, expected goals 3.36 to 1.73 — on chances created, Korona Kielce won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Korona Kielce against 1.67 for Pogon Szczecin.
Korona Kielce vs Pogon Szczecin Result & Final Score
Korona Kielce 1 - 0 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Korona Kielce vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 43%, draw 27%, Pogon Szczecin 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Korona Kielce) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.