Piast Gliwice 1-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.78
Over
46%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.7
2-3
47%
1.7
4-5
20%
3.8
6+
4%
17.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.33
1/2
2%
33.5
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
16%
5.05
X/2
12%
6.15
X/X
19%
4.21
2/1
2%
28.5
2/2
16%
4.52
2/X
5%
13.4
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Piast Gliwice The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok The Market 34%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.38 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.34
0.78 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.50
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
330 Passes 366
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
29.09.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
18.05.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
24.11.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
29.01.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
16.07.2022 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
1 - 1
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
0.84 xG 1.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
446 Passes 384
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 5
6 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Piast Gliwice and Jagiellonia Bialystok shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

A gentle 41% lean on Piast Gliwice didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.

On the day, possession split 53% to 47% in Piast Gliwice's favour, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.84 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Piast Gliwice against 1.00 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Result & Final Score

Piast Gliwice 1 - 1 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 41%, draw 29%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Piast Gliwice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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