Metropolitanos 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.6pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.2pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.22/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.51
+13% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
22.0 Crosses 18.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.73 xG 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
189 Passes 335
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2025 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
03.09.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 4-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
16.03.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
30.07.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
14.04.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
13.08.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
1-0
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
0.80 xG 0.55
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
268 Passes 263
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos edged past Estudiantes De Merida 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 41%) promised a tight game; Metropolitanos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 50% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 50%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.80 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.17 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Metropolitanos 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 37%, draw 22%, Estudiantes De Merida 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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