Valur vs Thor Akureyri Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 13 Sep 2026

📅13/09/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.6
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
19%
4.06
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.74 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
505 Passes 216
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.06.2026 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 2-4 HT 0-2 Valur Valur İZL
12.04.2026 Valur Valur 1-2 HT 1-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
10.03.2026 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 5-1 HT 2-1 Valur Valur İZLK
21.09.2014 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
22.06.2014 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
25.08.2013 Valur Valur 2-2 HT 0-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
PREVIEW Valur vs Thor Akureyri
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The numbers set this up as Valur's game to lose in front of their own crowd.

Both teams have scored in 5 of Valur's last 5 home league games.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Valur against 1.83 for Thor Akureyri.

Valur vs Thor Akureyri Kick-off Time

Valur play Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 13/09/2026, kick-off 17:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Valur vs Thor Akureyri Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Valur vs Thor Akureyri is a Valur win at about 63% probability, priced 1.6 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Valur 63%, draw 18%, Thor Akureyri 19%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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