Thor Akureyri vs Valur Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thor Akureyri v Valur — Team-Based Signals
Thor Akureyri vs Valur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Thor Akureyri
İZL
0-1
HT 0-1
Valur
İZL
2-2
HT 0-1
Thor Akureyri
İZL
3-5
HT 0-2
Valur
İZL
Thor Akureyri 2-4 Valur — Actual Match Statistics
Valur saw off Thor Akureyri 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 7-29, expected goals 0.84 to 3.28.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Thor Akureyri and 2.00 for Valur.
What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Valur?
Thor Akureyri 2-4 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Valur?
Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 23%, draw 19%, Valur 58%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.