Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stjarnan v KA Akureyri — Team-Based Signals
Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Stjarnan
İZL
Stjarnan 3-1 KA Akureyri — Actual Match Statistics
Stjarnan saw off KA Akureyri 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (68%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 22-17, expected goals 2.72 to 1.28.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Stjarnan and 1.33 for KA Akureyri.
What was the final score of Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
Stjarnan 3-1 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 54%, draw 22%, KA Akureyri 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.