Keflavik 3-2 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 28 Jun 2026

📅28/06/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
14%
4.19
Away
60%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.29
No
42%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.0pp
14%
Draw
20%
-6.1pp
60%
Away Win
55%
+5.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
73%
-15.7pp
42%
BTTS No
27%
+15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 59%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.19/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.26
-28% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.1
25.9 Crosses 22.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
0W-1D-5L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.68 xG 2.44
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
218 Passes 342
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 40
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2026 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-2 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
03.02.2025 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
28.06.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-0 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
15.04.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 0-2 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
15.08.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 0-0 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
16.05.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keflavik
3-2
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.99 xG 2.00
24 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
240 Passes 396
39 Box Touches 43
22 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Keflavik edged past KR Reykjavik 3-2 in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28 Jun 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 62% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, shots finished 24-21, expected goals 1.99 to 2.00.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik lead the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Keflavik and 1.67 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?

Keflavik 3-2 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 26%, draw 14%, KR Reykjavik 60%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL More Iceland - Urvalsdeild
28 Jun 2026
20:00 FH Hafnarfjordur vs İB Vestmannaeyjar Analysis →
20:00 Thor Akureyri vs Valur Analysis →
20:00 Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri Analysis →