Grebbestads IF 4-0 Säffle SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.46
Over 2.5
65%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.0pp
16%
Draw
18%
-1.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
25%
+9.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
75%
-9.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.5pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grebbestads IF EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Säffle SK EU Bookmakers 19%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
2.66/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.08
+16% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
461 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grebbestads IF
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Säffle SK
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
15.06.2024 Säffle SK Säffle SK 0-2 HT 0-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
07.10.2023 Säffle SK Säffle SK 4-1 HT 1-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
22.06.2023 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 1-0 HT 0-0 Säffle SK Säffle SK İSÇ4
12.08.2022 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 1-2 HT 0-0 Säffle SK Säffle SK İSÇ4
22.04.2022 Säffle SK Säffle SK 0-2 HT 0-1 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Grebbestads IF vs Säffle SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grebbestads IF swept aside Säffle SK 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Grebbestads IF as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Grebbestads IF had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Grebbestads IF and 1.20 for Säffle SK.

What was the final score of Grebbestads IF vs Säffle SK?

Grebbestads IF 4-0 Säffle SK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grebbestads IF vs Säffle SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grebbestads IF win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Grebbestads IF 63%, draw 16%, Säffle SK 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grebbestads IF), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Grebbestads IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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