Lödde 3-4 Hogaborgs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
18%
3.45
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.5
No
56%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.2pp
18%
Draw
26%
-7.6pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+9.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
62%
-18.8pp
56%
BTTS No
38%
+18.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lödde EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 34%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.00/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.95
+5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
273 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lödde
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hogaborgs BK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
16.06.2024 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 3-0 HT 1-0 Lödde İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lödde
3-4
AWAY Hogaborgs BK
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 7
11 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Lödde vs Hogaborgs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hogaborgs BK squeezed past Lödde 4-3 away from home. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 18% / 40% — and on the day Hogaborgs BK made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lödde had 55% of the ball to Hogaborgs BK's 45%, shots finished 19-12.

What was the final score of Lödde vs Hogaborgs BK?

Lödde 3-4 Hogaborgs BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lödde vs Hogaborgs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lödde win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lödde 42%, draw 18%, Hogaborgs BK 40%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lödde), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lödde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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