Linense 0-2 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.48
Over
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
42%
4-5
18%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linense EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 48%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -14%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.99
+103% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linense
2W-1D-3L
AWAY UCAM Murcia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 1-1 HT 1-0 Linense Linense İS4
26.11.2023 Linense Linense 0-2 HT 0-1 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
26.01.2022 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 1-0 HT 1-0 Linense Linense İS3
02.10.2021 Linense Linense 2-0 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS3
19.01.2020 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 4-3 HT 1-1 Linense Linense İS3
01.09.2019 Linense Linense 1-0 HT 1-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Linense
0-2
AWAY UCAM Murcia
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Linense vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia got the better of Linense 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UCAM Murcia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Linense had 53% of the ball to UCAM Murcia's 47%, shots finished 4-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UCAM Murcia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Linense and 1.33 for UCAM Murcia.

What was the final score of Linense vs UCAM Murcia?

Linense 0-2 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linense vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Linense 30%, draw 26%, UCAM Murcia 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCAM Murcia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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