Orihuela 0-1 Juventud Torremolinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
1.48
Over
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No Pick
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+6.1pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.9pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orihuela EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud Torremolinos EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.54/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.52
+11% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orihuela
0-1
AWAY Juventud Torremolinos
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Orihuela vs Juventud Torremolinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventud Torremolinos edged past Orihuela 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Orihuela at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Orihuela had 47% of the ball to Juventud Torremolinos's 53%, shots finished 18-13.

What was the final score of Orihuela vs Juventud Torremolinos?

Orihuela 0-1 Juventud Torremolinos in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orihuela vs Juventud Torremolinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orihuela win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Orihuela 54%, draw 23%, Juventud Torremolinos 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Orihuela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orihuela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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