SS Reyes 3-1 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.6
Over
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
43%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -22%
1.52/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.53
+19% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
228 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Reyes
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Talavera CF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-4 HT 1-4 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS4
24.09.2023 SS Reyes SS Reyes 0-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
18.03.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-1 HT 0-1 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS3
04.12.2022 SS Reyes SS Reyes 0-2 HT 0-1 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
24.04.2022 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-0 HT 0-0 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS3
13.02.2022 SS Reyes SS Reyes 1-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Reyes
3-1
AWAY Talavera CF
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
POST-MATCH SS Reyes vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Reyes got the better of Talavera CF 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SS Reyes as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SS Reyes had 50% of the ball to Talavera CF's 50%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SS Reyes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SS Reyes and 0.50 for Talavera CF.

What was the final score of SS Reyes vs Talavera CF?

SS Reyes 3-1 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Reyes vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Reyes win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SS Reyes 45%, draw 28%, Talavera CF 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Reyes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SS Reyes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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