Talavera CF 1-4 SS Reyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.45
Over
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
39%
4-5
15%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.9pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.7pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.43/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.59
+14% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +101%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talavera CF
1W-2D-3L
AWAY SS Reyes
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 SS Reyes SS Reyes 0-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
18.03.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-1 HT 0-1 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS3
04.12.2022 SS Reyes SS Reyes 0-2 HT 0-1 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
24.04.2022 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-0 HT 0-0 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS3
13.02.2022 SS Reyes SS Reyes 1-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
10.10.2021 SS Reyes SS Reyes 1-0 HT 1-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs SS Reyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Reyes cruised past Talavera CF 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 31% — and on the day SS Reyes made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SS Reyes led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Talavera CF and 0.50 for SS Reyes.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs SS Reyes?

Talavera CF 1-4 SS Reyes in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs SS Reyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 39%, draw 31%, SS Reyes 31%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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