Torrent 1-1 Pena Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.64
Over
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
45%
4-5
19%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torrent EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.28/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.05
+0% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torrent
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Pena Deportiva
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2024 Torrent Torrent 2-3 HT 1-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
29.10.2023 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 2-1 HT 1-0 Torrent Torrent İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torrent
1-1
AWAY Pena Deportiva
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Torrent vs Pena Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torrent and Pena Deportiva couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Torrent had 56% of the ball to Pena Deportiva's 44%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pena Deportiva led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Torrent and 2.50 for Pena Deportiva.

What was the final score of Torrent vs Pena Deportiva?

Torrent 1-1 Pena Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torrent vs Pena Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torrent win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Torrent 40%, draw 28%, Pena Deportiva 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torrent), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torrent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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