Union Adarve 0-1 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
31%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.67
Over
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
42%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.3pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.9pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-7.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.76/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.57
+58% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -38%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Adarve
1W-1D-2L
AWAY CD Guadalajara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.01.2024 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 2-1 HT 1-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
10.09.2023 Union Adarve Union Adarve 2-2 HT 2-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
16.04.2023 Union Adarve Union Adarve 1-3 HT 1-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
04.12.2022 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 0-2 HT 0-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Adarve
0-1
AWAY CD Guadalajara
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Union Adarve vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara nicked a narrow win over Union Adarve 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 34% / 31% — and on the day CD Guadalajara made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Union Adarve had 51% of the ball to CD Guadalajara's 49%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CD Guadalajara led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union Adarve and 1.75 for CD Guadalajara.

What was the final score of Union Adarve vs CD Guadalajara?

Union Adarve 0-1 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Adarve vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Adarve win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Union Adarve 35%, draw 34%, CD Guadalajara 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Adarve) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Adarve) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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