Pianese 1-0 Athletic Carpi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Oct 2024

Pianese
1-0
Athletic Carpi
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Pianese vs Athletic Carpi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
48%
-11.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+11.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pianese v Athletic Carpi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 29%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.48/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-67% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Pianese 1-0 Athletic Carpi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pianese
1-0
AWAY Athletic Carpi
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Pianese vs Athletic Carpi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pianese nicked a narrow win over Athletic Carpi 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Pianese made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pianese had 47% of the ball to Athletic Carpi's 53%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Pianese vs Athletic Carpi?

Pianese 1-0 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie C on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pianese vs Athletic Carpi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Carpi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pianese 36%, draw 26%, Athletic Carpi 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athletic Carpi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Carpi) ✓ Under 2.5
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