Club Atletico Mitre 2-1 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.54
Over
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
45%
4-5
14%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+10.1pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Mitre EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 16%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.25/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.37
-11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Mitre
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Almagro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
26.05.2024 Almagro Almagro 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Mitre vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Mitre edged past Almagro 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club Atletico Mitre as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Mitre vs Almagro?

Club Atletico Mitre 2-1 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Mitre vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Mitre win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Mitre 57%, draw 27%, Almagro 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Atletico Mitre) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Atletico Mitre) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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