Avarta 0-1 VSK Arhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avarta EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 50%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
0.71/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.45
-45% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avarta
2W-0D-2L
AWAY VSK Arhus
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 1-0 HT 0-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
28.04.2024 Avarta Avarta 2-0 HT 1-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
01.04.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 6-2 HT 3-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
10.09.2023 Avarta Avarta 1-0 HT 1-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avarta
0-1
AWAY VSK Arhus
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Avarta vs VSK Arhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VSK Arhus nicked a narrow win over Avarta 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had VSK Arhus as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Avarta had 56% of the ball to VSK Arhus's 44%, shots finished 21-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Avarta and 1.75 for VSK Arhus.

What was the final score of Avarta vs VSK Arhus?

Avarta 0-1 VSK Arhus in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avarta vs VSK Arhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Avarta 33%, draw 23%, VSK Arhus 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VSK Arhus) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VSK Arhus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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