VSK Arhus 1-0 Avarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Avarta EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.04/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.13
+19% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +48%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VSK Arhus
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Avarta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 Avarta Avarta 2-0 HT 1-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
01.04.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 6-2 HT 3-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
10.09.2023 Avarta Avarta 1-0 HT 1-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VSK Arhus
1-0
AWAY Avarta
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VSK Arhus vs Avarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VSK Arhus edged past Avarta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had VSK Arhus as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, VSK Arhus had 48% of the ball to Avarta's 52%, shots finished 4-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Avarta led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for VSK Arhus and 1.67 for Avarta.

What was the final score of VSK Arhus vs Avarta?

VSK Arhus 1-0 Avarta in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VSK Arhus vs Avarta?

Before kick-off our model rated a VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split VSK Arhus 47%, draw 25%, Avarta 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VSK Arhus), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (VSK Arhus) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN3 More Denmark - 3rd Division
18 May 2024
14:00 Vanlose vs Holstebro BK Analysis →
14:00 Lyseng vs Vejgaard BK Analysis →
15:00 Naesby vs Holbaek Analysis →
15:00 Silkeborg KFUM vs SfB-Oure Analysis →
15:00 Frem vs Ishøj Analysis →