Naesby vs Holbaek Prediction — Model Probabilities
Naesby v Holbaek — Team-Based Signals
Naesby vs Holbaek Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Naesby 3-2 Holbaek — Actual Match Statistics
Naesby shaded a tight game against Holbaek 3-2. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Naesby as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 58% to 42% in Naesby's favour, shots finished 20-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Naesby against 1.83 for Holbaek.
Naesby vs Holbaek Result & Final Score
Naesby 3 - 2 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Naesby vs Holbaek Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Naesby 49%, draw 26%, Holbaek 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naesby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.