Naesby vs Holbaek Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naesby v Holbaek — Team-Based Signals
Naesby vs Holbaek Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-0
Naesby
DAN3
0-2
HT 0-2
Naesby
DAN2
2-2
HT 0-1
Holbaek
DAN2
1-1
HT 1-1
Holbaek
DAN2
Naesby 3-2 Holbaek — Actual Match Statistics
Naesby squeezed past Holbaek 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Naesby as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Naesby had 58% of the ball to Holbaek's 42%, shots finished 20-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Naesby and 1.83 for Holbaek.
What was the final score of Naesby vs Holbaek?
Naesby 3-2 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naesby vs Holbaek?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Naesby 42%, draw 25%, Holbaek 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naesby), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.