Sham Shui Po 1-2 Central & Western — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.95
Away
52%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
13%
+9.9pp
26%
Draw
17%
+9.1pp
52%
Away Win
70%
-19.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.3pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Central & Western EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -16%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 475 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sham Shui Po
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Central & Western
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2021 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 2-0 HT 2-0 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sham Shui Po
1-2
AWAY Central & Western
31% Ball Possession 69%
4 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sham Shui Po vs Central & Western
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central & Western nicked a narrow win over Sham Shui Po 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Central & Western as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sham Shui Po had 31% of the ball to Central & Western's 69%, shots finished 4-17.

What was the final score of Sham Shui Po vs Central & Western?

Sham Shui Po 1-2 Central & Western in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sham Shui Po vs Central & Western?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sham Shui Po 22%, draw 26%, Central & Western 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central & Western), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Central & Western) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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