Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
68%
-6.9pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.5pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
2.47/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.45
+24% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CA La Paz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
06.05.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-1 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
03.05.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-1 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
28.03.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-4 HT 0-2 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
23.08.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 3-0 HT 2-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
24.02.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-2 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
14.07.2022 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-2 HT 1-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg cruised past CA La Paz 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leones Negros Udeg as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 2.17 for CA La Paz.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs CA La Paz?

Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 62%, draw 17%, CA La Paz 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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