Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.0pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.2pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-9.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.13/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.72
+37% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
229 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses 1.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Libertad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.95 xG 0.49
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
135 Passes 507
57% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 0
07.08.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-2 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
21.04.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
30.01.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
03.12.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PARK
03.11.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
20.08.2023 Libertad Libertad 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
1-1
AWAY Libertad
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Trinidense and Libertad shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 47% of the ball to Libertad's 53%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 1.33 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad?

Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 32%, draw 32%, Libertad 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Libertad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5
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PAR More Paraguay - Profesyonel League
13 Oct 2024
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