Sao Tome ve Principe 1-0 Lesotho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 13 Oct 2025

Sao Tome ve Principe
1-0 HT 0-0
Lesotho
📅13/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Sao Tome ve Principe vs Lesotho Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
16.01
Draw
14%
5.28
Away
75%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.95
No
56%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
14%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
40%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
4%
+6.9pp
14%
Draw
16%
-2.3pp
75%
Away Win
80%
-4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
30%
+13.9pp
56%
BTTS No
70%
-13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sao Tome ve Principe v Lesotho — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Tome ve Principe EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Lesotho EU Bookmakers 84%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+35% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
220 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
10.0 Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards –

Sao Tome ve Principe vs Lesotho Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Tome ve Principe
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lesotho
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
The Meetings
06.06.2024 Lesotho Lesotho 3-1 HT 2-0 Sao Tome ve Principe Sao Tome ve Principe DKE
POST-MATCH Sao Tome ve Principe vs Lesotho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Tome ve Principe edged past Lesotho 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Lesotho carried 75% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Sao Tome ve Principe vs Lesotho?

Sao Tome ve Principe 1-0 Lesotho in the World Cup Qualifiers on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Tome ve Principe vs Lesotho?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lesotho win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Sao Tome ve Principe 11%, draw 14%, Lesotho 75%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Lesotho), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lesotho) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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