Yeşil Burun Adaları 3-0 Esvatini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 13 Oct 2025

📅13/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.18
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
8%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
3.08
No
60%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 32% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
2%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
79%
-5.1pp
18%
Draw
15%
+2.6pp
8%
Away Win
5%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
28%
+12.0pp
60%
BTTS No
72%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeşil Burun Adaları EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Esvatini EU Bookmakers 8%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.13
-63% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +16%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
381 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeşil Burun Adaları
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Esvatini
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.00 xG 2.46
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
408 Passes 226
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.11.2023 Esvatini Esvatini 0-2 HT 0-2 Yeşil Burun Adaları Yeşil Burun Adaları DKE
28.03.2023 Esvatini Esvatini 0-1 HT 0-0 Yeşil Burun Adaları Yeşil Burun Adaları AFUK
24.03.2023 Yeşil Burun Adaları Yeşil Burun Adaları 0-0 HT 0-0 Esvatini Esvatini AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeşil Burun Adaları
3-0
AWAY Esvatini
74% Ball Possession 26%
16 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Esvatini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeşil Burun Adaları cruised past Esvatini 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yeşil Burun Adaları as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Yeşil Burun Adaları had 74% of the ball to Esvatini's 26%, shots finished 16-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Yeşil Burun Adaları had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yeşil Burun Adaları and 0.00 for Esvatini.

What was the final score of Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Esvatini?

Yeşil Burun Adaları 3-0 Esvatini in the World Cup Qualifiers on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Esvatini?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeşil Burun Adaları win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Yeşil Burun Adaları 74%, draw 18%, Esvatini 8%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yeşil Burun Adaları), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yeşil Burun Adaları) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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