Sao Tome Ve Principe 1-0 Malavi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 13 Oct 2025

📅13/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
16.01
Draw
13%
5.28
Away
79%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.95
No
57%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
13%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
14%
1/X
3%
X/1
2%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
42%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
8%
Home Win
4%
+3.8pp
13%
Draw
16%
-2.8pp
79%
Away Win
80%
-1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
30%
+13.0pp
57%
BTTS No
70%
-13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Tome Ve Principe EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Malavi EU Bookmakers 84%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+30% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
220 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Tome Ve Principe
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Malavi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
06.06.2024 Malavi Malavi 3-1 HT 2-0 Sao Tome Ve Principe Sao Tome Ve Principe DKE
POST-MATCH Sao Tome Ve Principe vs Malavi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Tome Ve Principe edged past Malavi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Malavi at 79% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Sao Tome Ve Principe vs Malavi?

Sao Tome Ve Principe 1-0 Malavi in the World Cup Qualifiers on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Tome Ve Principe vs Malavi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malavi win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Sao Tome Ve Principe 8%, draw 13%, Malavi 79%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Malavi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malavi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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