Ekvator Ginesi 1-1 Liberya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 13 Oct 2025

📅13/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.7pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekvator Ginesi EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Liberya EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-56% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
279 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekvator Ginesi
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Liberya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.12
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
252 Passes 143
78% Pass Accuracy 62%
8 Box Touches 13
5 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
14.10.2024 Liberya Liberya 1-2 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi AFUK
11.10.2024 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi 1-0 HT 1-0 Liberya Liberya AFUK
20.11.2023 Liberya Liberya 3-0 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi DKE
POST-MATCH Ekvator Ginesi vs Liberya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekvator Ginesi and Liberya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ekvator Ginesi had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ekvator Ginesi and 1.33 for Liberya.

What was the final score of Ekvator Ginesi vs Liberya?

Ekvator Ginesi 1-1 Liberya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekvator Ginesi vs Liberya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liberya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ekvator Ginesi 31%, draw 30%, Liberya 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Liberya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liberya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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