Liberya 1-2 Ekvator Ginesi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.36
Over 2.5
40%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.33
No
47%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
1.9
2-3 Goals
48%
1.88
4-5 Goals
17%
7.26
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.6pp
34%
Draw
33%
+0.8pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
70%
-9.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
30%
+9.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
39%
+13.9pp
47%
BTTS No
61%
-13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liberya EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvator Ginesi EU Bookmakers 40%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.46/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.10
+26% / +128% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
9.0 Crosses 10.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liberya
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ekvator Ginesi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.12 xG 1.14
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
143 Passes 252
62% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 8
11 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
11.10.2024 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi 1-0 HT 1-0 Liberya Liberya AFUK
20.11.2023 Liberya Liberya 3-0 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liberya
1-2
AWAY Ekvator Ginesi
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Liberya vs Ekvator Ginesi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekvator Ginesi squeezed past Liberya 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 34% / 35% — and on the day Ekvator Ginesi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liberya had 48% of the ball to Ekvator Ginesi's 52%, shots finished 14-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liberya and 0.50 for Ekvator Ginesi.

What was the final score of Liberya vs Ekvator Ginesi?

Liberya 1-2 Ekvator Ginesi in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liberya vs Ekvator Ginesi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ekvator Ginesi win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Liberya 30%, draw 34%, Ekvator Ginesi 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ekvator Ginesi), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ekvator Ginesi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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