Zimbabve 3-1 Namibya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.36
Over 2.5
42%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.9
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
19%
7.21
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
35%
+7.6pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.6pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
70%
-11.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
30%
+11.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.7pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbabve EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Namibya EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
0.43/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/3.19
-67% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -69%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
Crosses 16.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbabve
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Namibya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.21 xG 1.27
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
212 Passes 291
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
6 Box Touches 24
4 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.10.2024 Namibya Namibya 0-1 HT 0-1 Zimbabve Zimbabve AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbabve
3-1
AWAY Namibya
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Zimbabve vs Namibya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbabve got the better of Namibya 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zimbabve as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zimbabve had 44% of the ball to Namibya's 56%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Zimbabve vs Namibya?

Zimbabve 3-1 Namibya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbabve vs Namibya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zimbabve win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zimbabve 43%, draw 28%, Namibya 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbabve) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zimbabve) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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