Esvatini 0-3 Mozambik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
6.42
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esvatini EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Mozambik EU Bookmakers 49%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-98% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esvatini
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Mozambik
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.51 xG 1.10
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
122 Passes 373
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.10.2024 Mozambik Mozambik 1-1 HT 0-0 Esvatini Esvatini AFUK
29.06.2024 Mozambik Mozambik 0-0 HT 0-0 Esvatini Esvatini CAFCOS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esvatini
0-3
AWAY Mozambik
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Esvatini vs Mozambik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mozambik swept aside Esvatini 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mozambik as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Esvatini had 41% of the ball to Mozambik's 59%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Esvatini and 0.50 for Mozambik.

What was the final score of Esvatini vs Mozambik?

Esvatini 0-3 Mozambik in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esvatini vs Mozambik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mozambik win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Esvatini 28%, draw 28%, Mozambik 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mozambik), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mozambik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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