Kenya 0-1 Kamerun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.09
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
43%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.4
No
49%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.29
2-3 Goals
47%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.33
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
17%
+10.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
43%
Away Win
56%
-13.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
38%
+13.3pp
49%
BTTS No
62%
-13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kenya EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Kamerun EU Bookmakers 60%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.00/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.10
+35% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -45%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
168 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
Crosses 23.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kenya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kamerun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.53 xG 2.16
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
283 Passes 486
85% Pass Accuracy 91%
7 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.10.2024 Kamerun Kamerun 4-1 HT 3-1 Kenya Kenya AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kenya
0-1
AWAY Kamerun
0.89 xG 0.84
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
267 Passes 414
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kenya vs Kamerun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kamerun edged past Kenya 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kamerun as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kenya had 41% of the ball to Kamerun's 59%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.89 to 0.84.

What was the final score of Kenya vs Kamerun?

Kenya 0-1 Kamerun in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kenya vs Kamerun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kamerun win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kenya 27%, draw 29%, Kamerun 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kamerun), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kamerun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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