Gambiya 1-0 Madagaskar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.55
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.64
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.9pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.7pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gambiya EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Madagaskar EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.51/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.28
+4% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gambiya
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Madagaskar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.85 xG 0.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
363 Passes 199
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.10.2024 Madagaskar Madagaskar 1-1 HT 1-0 Gambiya Gambiya AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gambiya
1-0
AWAY Madagaskar
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Gambiya vs Madagaskar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gambiya edged past Madagaskar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gambiya as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Gambiya had 46% of the ball to Madagaskar's 54%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Gambiya vs Madagaskar?

Gambiya 1-0 Madagaskar in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gambiya vs Madagaskar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gambiya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gambiya 46%, draw 24%, Madagaskar 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gambiya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gambiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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