Togo 0-1 Cezayir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 35% vs market 31.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-6.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.9pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Togo EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Cezayir EU Bookmakers 62%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.58
+35% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +21%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 83%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
16.0 Crosses 16.3
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Togo
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Cezayir
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
1.22 xG 3.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
252 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.10.2024 Cezayir Cezayir 5-1 HT 1-1 Togo Togo AFUK
05.01.2024 Togo Togo 0-3 Cezayir Cezayir HAZ
18.11.2018 Togo Togo 1-4 HT 0-3 Cezayir Cezayir AFUK
12.06.2017 Cezayir Cezayir 1-0 HT 1-0 Togo Togo AFUK
26.01.2013 Cezayir Cezayir 0-2 HT 0-1 Togo Togo AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Togo
0-1
AWAY Cezayir
47% Ball Possession 53%
23 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Togo vs Cezayir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cezayir nicked a narrow win over Togo 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cezayir as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Togo had 47% of the ball to Cezayir's 53%, shots finished 23-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cezayir led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Togo and 2.60 for Cezayir.

What was the final score of Togo vs Cezayir?

Togo 0-1 Cezayir in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Togo vs Cezayir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cezayir win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Togo 22%, draw 26%, Cezayir 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cezayir), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cezayir) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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