Cezayir 5-1 Togo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 10 Oct 2024

Cezayir
5-1 HT 1-1
Togo
📅10/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 28% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-11.4pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.9pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cezayir EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Togo EU Bookmakers 12%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.90/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.25
-10% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +31%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 71%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
24.7 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cezayir
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Togo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
218 Passes 259
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 23
3 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.01.2024 Togo Togo 0-3 Cezayir Cezayir HAZ
18.11.2018 Togo Togo 1-4 HT 0-3 Cezayir Cezayir AFUK
12.06.2017 Cezayir Cezayir 1-0 HT 1-0 Togo Togo AFUK
26.01.2013 Cezayir Cezayir 0-2 HT 0-1 Togo Togo AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cezayir
5-1
AWAY Togo
3.51 xG 1.22
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
475 Passes 246
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
42 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cezayir vs Togo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cezayir ran out comfortable winners over Togo 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cezayir as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cezayir had 64% of the ball to Togo's 36%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 3.51 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cezayir had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cezayir and 0.75 for Togo.

What was the final score of Cezayir vs Togo?

Cezayir 5-1 Togo in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cezayir vs Togo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cezayir win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Cezayir 61%, draw 22%, Togo 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cezayir) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cezayir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFUK More Afrika Uluslar Cup
10 Oct 2024
16:00 Namibya vs Zimbabve Analysis →
19:00 Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Botsvana Analysis →
19:00 Gana vs Sudan Analysis →
19:00 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Tanzanya Analysis →
22:00 Burkina Faso vs Burundi Analysis →