D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 1-0 Tanzanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.42
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
3.08
No
63%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
12%
5.86
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
66%
-17.3pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.7pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.6pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
28%
+8.5pp
63%
BTTS No
72%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Tanzanya EU Bookmakers 14%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.89/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.38
-12% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +33%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
20.9 Crosses 8.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Tanzanya
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.60 xG 0.11
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
366 Passes 376
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 4
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
24.01.2024 Tanzanya Tanzanya 0-0 HT 0-0 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti AFUK
11.11.2021 Tanzanya Tanzanya 0-3 HT 0-1 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti DKE
02.09.2021 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 1-1 HT 1-1 Tanzanya Tanzanya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
1-0
AWAY Tanzanya
0.53 xG 0.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 3
282 Passes 301
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Tanzanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti edged past Tanzanya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti had 49% of the ball to Tanzanya's 51%, shots finished 5-5, expected goals 0.53 to 0.16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti and 0.33 for Tanzanya.

What was the final score of D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Tanzanya?

D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 1-0 Tanzanya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Tanzanya?

Before kick-off our model rated a D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 49%, draw 31%, Tanzanya 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFUK More Afrika Uluslar Cup
10 Oct 2024
16:00 Namibya vs Zimbabve Analysis →
19:00 Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Botsvana Analysis →
19:00 Gana vs Sudan Analysis →
22:00 Cezayir vs Togo Analysis →
22:00 Burkina Faso vs Burundi Analysis →