Gana 0-0 Sudan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 10 Oct 2024

Gana
0-0 HT 0-0
Sudan
📅10/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.67
No
61%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.32
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 33% vs market 30.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-12.7pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.8pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+5.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
33%
+5.6pp
61%
BTTS No
67%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gana EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sudan EU Bookmakers 12%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.53/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.11
-14% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 75%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.5
18.9 Crosses 10.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gana
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sudan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.35 xG 1.89
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
297 Passes 253
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.01.2023 Gana Gana 3-1 HT 1-1 Sudan Sudan AUŞ
17.11.2020 Sudan Sudan 1-0 HT 0-0 Gana Gana AFUK
12.11.2020 Gana Gana 2-0 HT 1-0 Sudan Sudan AFUK
07.06.2013 Sudan Sudan 1-3 HT 1-1 Gana Gana DKE
24.03.2013 Gana Gana 4-0 HT 2-0 Sudan Sudan DKE
10.10.2010 Gana Gana 0-0 HT 0-0 Sudan Sudan AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gana
0-0
AWAY Sudan
3.36 xG 0.18
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
16 Corners 1
306 Passes 188
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
37 Box Touches 4
38 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gana vs Sudan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gana and Sudan fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gana at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Gana had 60% of the ball to Sudan's 40%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 3.36 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gana had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gana and 0.50 for Sudan.

What was the final score of Gana vs Sudan?

Gana 0-0 Sudan in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gana vs Sudan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gana win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Gana 58%, draw 27%, Sudan 15%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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