Yeşil Burun Adaları 0-1 Botsvana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.89
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeşil Burun Adaları EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Botsvana EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.49/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/1.17
+6% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / -13%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 71%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.7
9.0 Crosses 11.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeşil Burun Adaları
0-1
AWAY Botsvana
1.51 xG 0.30
77% Ball Possession 23%
25 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
18 Corners 0
564 Passes 118
88% Pass Accuracy 58%
29 Box Touches 9
41 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Botsvana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botsvana squeezed past Yeşil Burun Adaları 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Yeşil Burun Adaları carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Yeşil Burun Adaları had 77% of the ball to Botsvana's 23%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 1.51 to 0.30 — on chances, Yeşil Burun Adaları could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Botsvana?

Yeşil Burun Adaları 0-1 Botsvana in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Botsvana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeşil Burun Adaları win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Yeşil Burun Adaları 56%, draw 27%, Botsvana 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Yeşil Burun Adaları) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yeşil Burun Adaları) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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