Togo 0-3 Cezayir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Jan 2024

Togo
0-3
Cezayir
📅05/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✓
Friendlies – 2024

Togo vs Cezayir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
48%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
3.71
6+ Goals
14%
16.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.71 — our 22% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.7pp
29%
Draw
20%
+8.9pp
48%
Away Win
66%
-17.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Togo v Cezayir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Togo EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Cezayir EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +30%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
256 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Togo vs Cezayir Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Togo
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Cezayir
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
259 Passes 218
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.11.2018 Togo Togo 1-4 HT 0-3 Cezayir Cezayir AFUK
12.06.2017 Cezayir Cezayir 1-0 HT 1-0 Togo Togo AFUK
26.01.2013 Cezayir Cezayir 0-2 HT 0-1 Togo Togo AFUK
POST-MATCH Togo vs Cezayir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cezayir cruised past Togo 3-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cezayir as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cezayir led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Togo and 1.67 for Cezayir.

What was the final score of Togo vs Cezayir?

Togo 0-3 Cezayir in the Friendlies on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Togo vs Cezayir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cezayir win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Togo 22%, draw 29%, Cezayir 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cezayir), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cezayir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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