Mozambik 1-1 Esvatini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.95
No
68%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
13%
5.73
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-6.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.2pp
32%
BTTS Yes
30%
+2.0pp
68%
BTTS No
70%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mozambik EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Esvatini EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.78/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/1.04
+21% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +70%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
Crosses 13.5
Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mozambik
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Esvatini
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.06.2024 Mozambik Mozambik 0-0 HT 0-0 Esvatini Esvatini CAFCOS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mozambik
1-1
AWAY Esvatini
1.10 xG 0.51
70% Ball Possession 30%
11 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
373 Passes 122
85% Pass Accuracy 67%
13 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mozambik vs Esvatini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mozambik and Esvatini couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Mozambik carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

On the day, Mozambik had 70% of the ball to Esvatini's 30%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.10 to 0.51.

What was the final score of Mozambik vs Esvatini?

Mozambik 1-1 Esvatini in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mozambik vs Esvatini?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mozambik win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Mozambik 59%, draw 22%, Esvatini 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mozambik), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mozambik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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