Nijerya vs Libya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nijerya v Libya — Team-Based Signals
Nijerya vs Libya Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Nijerya
AFUK
4-0
HT 1-0
Libya
AFUK
Nijerya 1-0 Libya — Actual Match Statistics
Nijerya edged past Libya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nijerya as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Nijerya had 63% of the ball to Libya's 37%, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 1.37 to 0.03 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Nijerya's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nijerya had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Nijerya and 1.00 for Libya.
What was the final score of Nijerya vs Libya?
Nijerya 1-0 Libya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nijerya vs Libya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nijerya win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Nijerya 61%, draw 23%, Libya 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nijerya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.