Nijerya vs Libya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Nijerya v Libya — Team-Based Signals
Nijerya vs Libya Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Nijerya 1-0 Libya — Actual Match Statistics
Nijerya found just enough to beat Libya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Nijerya as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — no to both teams scoring (61%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 63% to 37% in Nijerya's favour, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 1.37 to 0.03 — on chances created, Nijerya won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nijerya had the better of it with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 3.50 a game for Nijerya against 1.00 for Libya.
Nijerya vs Libya Result & Final Score
Nijerya 1 - 0 Libya in the Africa Cup of Nations on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Nijerya vs Libya Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Nijerya win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Nijerya 80%, draw 14%, Libya 6%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nijerya), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.