Benin 3-0 Ruanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 11 Oct 2024

Benin
3-0 HT 1-0
Ruanda
📅11/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.54
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.7pp
36%
Draw
31%
+5.0pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.8pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.0pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benin EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruanda EU Bookmakers 29%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.15
+42% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.6
Crosses 18.7
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benin
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ruanda
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.10 xG 1.64
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
318 Passes 264
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.06.2024 Benin Benin 1-0 HT 1-0 Ruanda Ruanda DKE
29.03.2023 Ruanda Ruanda 0-3 HT 0-0 Benin Benin AFUK
22.03.2023 Benin Benin 1-1 HT 0-1 Ruanda Ruanda AFUK
08.09.2013 Benin Benin 2-0 HT 1-0 Ruanda Ruanda DKE
10.06.2012 Ruanda Ruanda 1-1 HT 0-0 Benin Benin DKE
09.10.2011 Benin Benin 0-1 HT 0-1 Ruanda Ruanda AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benin
3-0
AWAY Ruanda
0.72 xG 0.39
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
168 Passes 392
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Benin vs Ruanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benin cruised past Ruanda 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 36% / 27% — and on the day Benin made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

On the day, Benin had 34% of the ball to Ruanda's 66%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.72 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benin had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Benin and 0.50 for Ruanda.

What was the final score of Benin vs Ruanda?

Benin 3-0 Ruanda in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benin vs Ruanda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Benin 37%, draw 36%, Ruanda 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benin), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFUK More Afrika Uluslar Cup
11 Oct 2024
16:00 Ekvator Ginesi vs Liberya Analysis →
16:00 Zambiya vs Çad Analysis →
16:00 Mozambik vs Esvatini Analysis →
17:00 Madagaskar vs Gambiya Analysis →
19:00 Mısır vs Moritanya Analysis →
19:00 Nijerya vs Libya Analysis →