Benin 1-0 Ruanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 6 Jun 2024

Benin
1-0 HT 1-0
Ruanda
📅06/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
40%
2.2
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
11%
5.64
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.2 — our 40% vs market 38.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benin EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruanda EU Bookmakers 31%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
2.24/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.05
+75% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +11%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benin
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ruanda
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.10 xG 1.64
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
318 Passes 264
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.03.2023 Ruanda Ruanda 0-3 HT 0-0 Benin Benin AFUK
22.03.2023 Benin Benin 1-1 HT 0-1 Ruanda Ruanda AFUK
08.09.2013 Benin Benin 2-0 HT 1-0 Ruanda Ruanda DKE
10.06.2012 Ruanda Ruanda 1-1 HT 0-0 Benin Benin DKE
09.10.2011 Benin Benin 0-1 HT 0-1 Ruanda Ruanda AFUK
09.10.2010 Ruanda Ruanda 0-3 HT 0-0 Benin Benin AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benin
1-0
AWAY Ruanda
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Benin vs Ruanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benin squeezed past Ruanda 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Benin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Benin had 48% of the ball to Ruanda's 52%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benin had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Benin and 0.50 for Ruanda.

What was the final score of Benin vs Ruanda?

Benin 1-0 Ruanda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benin vs Ruanda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benin win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Benin 36%, draw 32%, Ruanda 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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