Alianza Petrolera 0-1 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 13 Oct 2025

📅13/10/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.28
Draw
32%
3.02
Away
28%
2.93
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.69
Over
43%
2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.87
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
46%
4-5
19%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Alianza Petrolera The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior The Market 34%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.49 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.12
0.98 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.29
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Junior
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.74 xG 1.45
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
271 Passes 407
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Junior Junior 2-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
05.08.2024 Junior Junior 2-2 HT 1-1 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
05.02.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 0-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
15.09.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-5 HT 1-3 Junior Junior KOL
04.04.2023 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
26.09.2022 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 0-1 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Petrolera
0 - 1
AWAY Junior
0.87 xG 1.51
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
333 Passes 196
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Alianza Petrolera vs Junior
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Junior found just enough to beat Alianza Petrolera 1-0 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

The model refused to pick a side here (40% / 32% / 28%); Junior picked one for it. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 60% to 40% in Alianza Petrolera's favour, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.87 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Alianza Petrolera against 2.00 for Junior.

Alianza Petrolera vs Junior Result & Final Score

Alianza Petrolera 0 - 1 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Alianza Petrolera vs Junior Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 40%, draw 32%, Junior 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) ✓ Under 2.5
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