Junior vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Junior v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Junior vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-5
HT 1-3
Junior
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
0-1
HT 0-1
Junior
KOL
3-1
HT 2-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
Junior 2-0 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Junior saw off Alianza Petrolera 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Junior had 53% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 47%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 0.71 to 0.93.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Junior and 0.67 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Junior vs Alianza Petrolera?
Junior 2-0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Junior vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Junior 47%, draw 30%, Alianza Petrolera 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.