Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
2-2
HT 2-1
Once Caldas
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Once Caldas
KOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
Independiente Medellin 2-0 Once Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin got the better of Once Caldas 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 59% of the ball to Once Caldas's 41%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.79 to 0.38.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.50 for Once Caldas.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas?
Independiente Medellin 2-0 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 54%, draw 26%, Once Caldas 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.