Envigado vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Envigado v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Envigado vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
Envigado 3-1 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Envigado beat Deportes Tolima 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (29% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Envigado found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Envigado had 34% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 66%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.47 to 0.81.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Envigado and 1.67 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Envigado vs Deportes Tolima?
Envigado 3-1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Envigado vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Envigado 29%, draw 30%, Deportes Tolima 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.