Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Slaven Belupo v HNK Gorica — Team-Based Signals
Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
HNK Gorica
HIR
2-2
HT 1-0
Slaven Belupo
HIR
0-0
HT 0-0
Slaven Belupo
HIR
Slaven Belupo 2-1 HNK Gorica — Actual Match Statistics
Slaven Belupo squeezed past HNK Gorica 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slaven Belupo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Slaven Belupo had 60% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 40%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 2.66 to 1.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Slaven Belupo's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HNK Gorica led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Slaven Belupo and 1.00 for HNK Gorica.
What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
Slaven Belupo 2-1 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Slaven Belupo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 50%, draw 24%, HNK Gorica 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slaven Belupo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.